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  • October 16, 2025

PAGASA predicts a potential La Niña commencing October

September 11, 2025 by NewsLine Philippines

DAVAO CITY(September 11) — Starting October 2025, the Philippines may have a minor La Niña phenomena, resulting in above-average rainfall in certain areas of the Davao region.

Engr. Alan Ray Ribo of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Davao revealed this during a recent Disaster Preparedness Committee meeting in Davao City.

“But this will probably be short-lived since it will be peaking in November and December; and it will gradually decrease up to the first quarter of next year,” Ribo stated.

According to Ribo, the La Niña was predicted due to a fall in temperature in the Pacific Ocean.

“Kung consistent nga naay -0.5 degree Celsius anomaly sa Pacific Ocean, merong probable na La Niña; pero kung -0.1 to -0.4 degree Celsius, considered neutral condition ang Pacific Ocean,” he said.

(La Niña is likely if the Pacific anomaly is consistently -0.5 degrees Celsius; however, if it is only -0.1 and up to -0.4 degrees Celsius, the Pacific Ocean is in a neutral state.)

As a result of the phenomenon and the Easterlies weather system, it is anticipated that October will see above-normal rainfall in the provinces of Davao Occidental, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental, which might cause flash floods, street flooding, and rain-induced landslides.

Additionally, the weather officer stated that rain is still predicted owing to localized thunderstorms, which are expected to occur primarily in the late afternoon to late evening.

Filed Under: Environment, Featured, Top Stories

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Davao City
Davao City, PH
11:53 am, Oct 16, 2025
temperature icon 27°C
overcast clouds
Humidity: 83 %
Wind: 2 mph
Clouds: 100%
Sunrise: 5:30 am
Sunset: 5:44 pm
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